Linear Regression Slope

🔍 What is it?

The Linear Regression Slope (LRS) is a technical analysis indicator that measures the angle or steepness of the linear regression line applied to price data. Unlike the Linear Regression Curve, which focuses on fitting a line through price points, the slope specifically reveals the rate of price change over a defined period.

In simple terms, LRS tells traders how quickly prices are trending up or down — giving a numerical value to momentum.

⚙️ How it works

The indicator calculates the slope (or gradient) of a straight line that best fits the closing prices over a specific lookback period. This line is derived using the least squares method, minimizing the distance between the line and actual price points.

  • A positive slope means the market is in an uptrend.

  • A negative slope indicates a downtrend.

  • A slope near zero suggests the market is moving sideways or lacking a clear trend.

📖 How to read it

  • 🟢 LRS > 0: Bullish momentum — the higher the value, the stronger the uptrend.

  • 🔴 LRS < 0: Bearish momentum — the more negative the value, the stronger the downtrend.

  • LRS ≈ 0: Weak or no momentum — price is consolidating or moving in a range.

The actual numeric value is less important than the direction and change over time.

⚙️ Best settings

  • Lookback Period: 14 is a common default, but:

    • Short-term traders may use 7–10 periods for faster signals.

    • Long-term traders might prefer 21–50 periods for smoother trends.

  • Timeframe: Works well on all timeframes, but daily and 4H charts are popular for swing trading.

Customization depends on your strategy and asset volatility.

🧠 How to use it in a strategy

  1. Trend Confirmation Combine LRS with a trend indicator (like EMA or Ichimoku). For example, enter long trades when:

    • LRS > 0

    • Price is above a key moving average

  2. Momentum Filter Use it as a filter to avoid sideways markets. If LRS is close to zero, skip the trade and wait for stronger momentum.

  3. Reversal Warning A flattening or reversing slope might indicate weakening momentum — signaling a potential trend change.

  4. Pair with Oscillators Use LRS for direction and oscillators like RSI or Stochastics for entry timing.

⚠️ Common mistakes

  • Ignoring noise: On lower timeframes, LRS can flip quickly — use with context or smoothing.

  • Over-relying on slope value: A positive slope doesn’t always mean price will continue to rise. Always consider broader market structure.

  • Not adjusting settings: Default values don’t fit all assets. Test and optimize based on your trading goals.

🧠 Final thoughts

The Linear Regression Slope is a straightforward yet powerful tool that quantifies the speed and direction of price trends. It’s especially useful for identifying early trend strength and filtering out low-momentum setups.

When combined with price action and other indicators, LRS can become a reliable ally in trend-based strategies.

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